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Estado Actual de El
Niño 2006 - 07
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El Nino
Southern Oscillation Quick-Look Images
(Current
Observations and Forecasts)
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Current Conditions ---
Global Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
Courtesy: NOAA NESDIS
Yellows represent
warmer than normal waters (seasonally adjusted)/Blues are cooler than normal
Equatorial Pacific Ocean Sea Surface Wind and Water Temperature Anomaly
Courtesy: NOAA PMEL
Lower panel: West-to-east
winds and warmer than normal water temps are indicative of El Nino
Equatorial Pacific Ocean Sub-Surface Water Temperature and Anomaly
Courtesy: NOAA PMEL
Kelvin waves are
evidenced by pockets of warmer than normal water at the 200m depth. Over time
they travel slowly west to east, rising to the surface in the far East Pacific
as they impact the South American coast.
Southern Oscillation Index
Courtesy: BOM
Measures the
relative surface pressure difference between Darwin Australia and Tahiti.
Consistently negative values indicate El Nino, positive values La Nina.
Short negative spikes are associated with the active phase of the MJO.
Continual active MJO events contribute greatly to the SOI and each
individual event can generate westerly wind bursts that result in Kelvin
Waves.
Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR)
(Total & Anomaly)
Courtesy: CPC/NCEP/NOAA
Negative values
represent increased clouds (more sun radiation absorption)/Positive values
indicate less clouds (more reflection) and the inactive phase. Broad areas of
negative values over the equatorial Pacific tracking from the Indian Ocean in to
the Western Pacific are normally associated with the active phase of the MJO.
Also broad negative values can establish themselves over warm water associated
with a developing El Nino.
Madden-Julian Oscillation Outgoing Long Wave Radiation Anomaly
Courtesy: BOM
Negative values represent increased clouds (more sun radiation absorption) and
an active phase of the MJO/Positive values indicate less clouds (more
reflection) and the inactive phase
Madden-Julian Oscillation 850 mb Wind Anomaly
Courtesy: BOM
Positive values represent anomalous winds blowing west-to-east/Negative values
indicate increased trades and the inactive phase
--- Forecast
Conditions ---
Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly Forecast
Nino 3.4
Courtesy: NCEP NOAA CPC
Madden-Julian Oscillation Forecast
850 mb Wind Anomaly
Courtesy: BOM
Positive values represent anomalous winds blowing west-to-east and the active
phase of the MJO/Negative values indicate above normal trades and the inactive
phase
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